Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · May 3, 2024

Updated May 3, 2024 7:02 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has successfully made 57.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the league.
Evan Mobley has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 82nd percentile.
When it comes to threes, the Cleveland Cavaliers's fantastic 13.3 made threes per game ranks 9th-highest in the league this year.
The matchup against Wendell Carter Jr. is a positive one for field goals; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 59.4% of their field goal attempts (100th percentile).
Evan Mobley has converted 88.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 11.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season while playing on the road.

Favors Under

Evan Mobley has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (92nd percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home city, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Evan Mobley will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease player production for all stats.