Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Charlotte Hornets · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 1:07 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+550/-1000).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +550.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley ranks in the 88th percentile for scoring ability playing at home with an exceptional 57.4% rate this year.
Evan Mobley has averaged 30.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Cavaliers have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a strong one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have put up the highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (55.8%).
The Cavaliers have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Evan Mobley has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
The Cavaliers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.