Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has converted 57.4% of his shot attempts from the field at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Evan Mobley has converted a terrific 28.6% of his 3-point shots this year, a significant increase from his 18.4 mark last year.
Evan Mobley has played 30.8 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
Evan Mobley has attempted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have logged 14.5 points per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The 2nd-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).