Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 11, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 1:40 AM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Evan Mobley rates in the 88th percentile for field goals drained with the home court advantage, totaling a whopping 6.6 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 32.5 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Cavaliers's terrific 48.3% field goal percentage as the visting team settles in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Golden State is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Warriors have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (4.5).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 15.4% rate, Evan Mobley's three-point efficiency has regressed this season to 0.0%.
Evan Mobley has tallied 0.0 technical fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Cavaliers will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 7th-slowest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Warriors).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA on the road with a mere 7.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Since the start of last season, opposing clubs have snagged 11.1 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (maintaining possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).