Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 7:02 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has converted 8.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing away from home.
Evan Mobley has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The matchup against New York is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Knicks have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.2).
The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Evan Mobley has made 18.8% of his treys this year, putting him in the 10th percentile out of all players in the league.
Evan Mobley has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (89th percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).