Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 2, 2023 10:21 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has sunk 8.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
Evan Mobley has been on the court for 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league when playing at home this year.
The matchup against the Pacers is a positive one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (16.6).
The Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Evan Mobley has sunk 22.1% of his 3-point shots while on his home court this year, putting him in the 18th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pacers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).