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Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2023

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Evan Mobley has sunk 67.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Evan Mobley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Evan Mobley has attempted 3.7 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Evan Mobley has converted 21.7% of his treys this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 14th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (30.6%).

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.

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