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Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Evan Mobley has converted 67.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.9% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Evan Mobley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Evan Mobley has attempted 3.7 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Evan Mobley has converted 21.7% of his 3-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against the Heat is a hard one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 12th-lowest three percentage in the league since the start of last season (31.0%).

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.

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