Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2023

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Evan Mobley

NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 15, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has successfully made 8.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's put through the net overall this year away from his home court.
Evan Mobley has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup against P.J. Tucker is a favorable one; he has allowed a massive 16.4 points per game when defending fellow starting PFs this year (88th percentile).
Evan Mobley has made 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's sunk overall this year away from his home court.

Favors Under

Evan Mobley has accumulated 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Evan Mobley will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduces player production for all stats.

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