Evan Mobley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Evan Mobley

NBA · Player Props

Evan Mobley

C · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Mobley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Evan Mobley has converted 8.3 baskets per game over the last 15 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Evan Mobley has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Cavaliers.
Evan Mobley will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Evan Mobley has converted 24.6% of his 3-point attempts on his home court this year, ranking in the 21st percentile out of all players in the league.
Evan Mobley has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The matchup vs. Jeremy Sochan is a challenging one for attempts from beyond the arc; when Sochan is on the visiting team and matched up against opposing starting PFs this year, they have attempted a measly 3.6 threes per game (11th percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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