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Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley Assists
Player Prop - 2/22/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic

Evan Mobley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Evan Mobley has posted 3.1 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the hottest players in the NBA in this category over this stretch of games: 75th percentile.

Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 30.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Away from home, the Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Evan Mobley should get a boost in output across the board as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Evan Mobley has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).

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