Dyson Daniels Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Dyson Daniels

New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Dyson Daniels Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Washington is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Washington Wizards are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 28th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (3.3).
The 9th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 11 games has been the Pelicans.
The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Washington Wizards).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Wizards is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.3 foul shots per game this year (29th-most in the league).

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 37.1% clip, Dyson Daniels's field goal proficiency has dropped this year to 34.9%.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year.
The Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Dyson Daniels has sunk just 56.3% of his free throws this season, a significant dropoff from his 57.1 rate last season.
Dyson Daniels will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.