Duncan Robinson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Duncan Robinson has played an impressive 27.4 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 16.6 minutes per game last year.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the quickest pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 10thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, opposing teams have secured 11.8 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Hornets (retaining possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).
Duncan Robinson will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production for all stats.

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