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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 4/3/2025

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson rates in the 92nd percentile for three-pointers made, totaling 2.5 per game this year.

When it comes to three-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 48.8% rate of drained threes rates strongest in the league over the last 5 games.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Duncan Robinson has missed 0.1 free throw attempts per game at home this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 21st percentile for misses at home.

Duncan Robinson ought to get a boost in efficiency across the board as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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