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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 3/25/2025

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Heat.

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Golden State is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the lowest three rate in the NBA this year (21.6%).

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league on their home court with just 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.

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