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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2025

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson measures in the 90th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc when playing on the road, logging 6.3 per game this year.

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league while playing on the road over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 21.5 points per game (most in the league) against the Knicks, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The New York Knicks have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Miami Heat.

Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.8% more than he's made over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Duncan Robinson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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