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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2025

Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Duncan Robinson has notched 14.7 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.6 higher than he's notched over the course of the year.
  • Duncan Robinson has converted 3.5 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.
  • The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
  • The matchup vs. the Grizzlies may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (7th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have put up 9.9 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, creating a hard matchup for offensive production.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
  • The Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Duncan Robinson is expected to suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board due to playing away from home in this game.

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