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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 12/26/2024

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has converted 2.6 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league.

The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The matchup against the Orlando Magic is a favorable one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (14.8).

Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.8% more than he's sunk overall this season.

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson figures to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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