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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 12/4/2024

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson rates in the 84th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc on his home court, compiling 6.0 per game this year.

Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 26.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.4 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.

When it comes to three-point attempts, the 6th-most aggressive team in the league on their home court this year has been the Heat.

Duncan Robinson figures to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 11.7 field goal attempts per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, designating this as a hard matchup.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA while on their home court this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Miami Heat.

The Heat have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson ranks in the 14th percentile for free-throw performance when playing at home with a lackluster 50.0% rate this year.

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