Duncan Robinson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2024

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat · Mar 18, 2024

Updated Mar 18, 2024 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Duncan Robinson has made 4.1 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year when playing away from home.
Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson lands in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a challenging one; when the Philadelphia 76ers have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 7th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 10 games (15.4).
The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
The Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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