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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 1/12/2024

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

 
 
 
Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Duncan Robinson has attempted 8.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this year.
  • The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA playing at home this year.
  • The matchup vs. Orlando is a favorable one; when the Magic are away from home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (20.2).
  • The Magic have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while at home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Duncan Robinson has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
  • The 3rd-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
  • The Orlando Magic have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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