Duncan Robinson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Duncan Robinson has attempted 8.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this year.
The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a favorable one; when the Magic are away from home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (20.2).
The Magic have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while at home.

Favors Under

Duncan Robinson has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The 3rd-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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