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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has attempted 7.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly higher than his 4.7 rate last year.

With respect to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's stellar 39.8% rate of successful threes measures as the strongest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a difficult one for three-point shots; opposing teams have compiled the 5th-lowest three rate in the league this year (35.2%).

Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 20.3% higher than he's made in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most lethargic pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the 10th-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

When playing at home, the Golden State Warriors have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, opposing squads have attempted 25.6 foul shots per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

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