Duncan Robinson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2023

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Apr 26, 2023

Updated Apr 27, 2023 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Duncan Robinson has averaged 13.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Duncan Robinson has successfully made 70.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 34.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Duncan Robinson has tallied 23.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Heat.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Bucks is a positive one; they have given up the 5th-most points per game in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (120.2).
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Duncan Robinson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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