Duncan Robinson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Points

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Wizards have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Heat.
Duncan Robinson has converted 94.1% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

Duncan Robinson has converted 35.1% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Wizards is a hard one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (15.5).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Wizards have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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