Duncan Robinson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-121/-113).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson measures in the 89th percentile for three-point efficiency away from home with a an excellent 45.3% rate this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson rates in the 94th percentile for 3-point attempts, averaging 7.1 per game this year.
With respect to three-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 13.1 drained threes per game while on the road comes in as the 9th-most in the league over the last 10 games.
The Suns have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.
The Suns have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson registers in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.3 fouls per game this year.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the other team has tallied 39.2 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, branding this as a good matchup.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league when playing on the road this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Duncan Robinson stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.