Duncan Robinson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Duncan Robinson has successfully made an impressive 3.1 threes per game this year, significantly more than his 1.7 rate last year.
Relative to last year's 16.6 rate, Duncan Robinson's playing time has spiked this year to 28.9 minutes per game.
When it comes to 3-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 38.0% rate of made threes away from their home court measures as the 5th-highest in the league this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 5.6 three attempts per game (24th-highest in the league) vs. the Bucks, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Bucks (continuing possessions that can result in more chances for offense).

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