Duncan Robinson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Duncan Robinson has made an impressive 3.0 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 1.7 rate last season.
Duncan Robinson has averaged 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 8 games while playing at home.
The matchup vs. Chicago is a good one for three-point shots; when the Bulls are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 27th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (40.2%).

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bulls have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Duncan Robinson should suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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