Duncan Robinson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 3:23 AM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Duncan Robinson has totaled a whopping 2.9 assists per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 1.3 assists per game last season.
Compared to last season's 16.6 clip, Duncan Robinson's playing time has surged this season to 29.6 minutes per game.
The 9th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Heat.
Duncan Robinson ought to see an increase in performance for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Duncan Robinson has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this season at home.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team has brought down 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can generate further chances for offense).

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