Draymond Green Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has averaged 9.8 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
Draymond Green has averaged 30.2 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Warriors.

Favors Under

Draymond Green has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (93rd percentile).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Draymond Green will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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