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Draymond Green

Draymond Green Points
Player Prop - 5/2/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Draymond Green registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 29.3 minutes per game at home this year.

The matchup vs. Alperen Sengun is a strong one for shots from downtown; when Sengun is on the visiting team opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a whopping 39.0% of their shots from downtown (100th percentile).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Draymond Green has successfully made 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 23.7% more than he's put through the net in all games this year when playing at home.

Draymond Green will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to improve player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Draymond Green has tallied 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while at home, 1.4 more than he's tallied overall this year at home.

When it comes to shooting, the Warriors's poor 45.0% field goal percentage settles in as the 5th-weakest in the league this year.

The 3rd-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Warriors.

The matchup against Alperen Sengun is a tough one for drawing fouls; when Sengun is on the visiting team and defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.0 free throws per game (13th percentile).

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