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Draymond Green

Draymond Green Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, branding this as a good matchup.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Draymond Green has attempted 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 49.1% clip, Draymond Green's field goal proficiency has declined this season to 40.0%.

Draymond Green has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (98th percentile).

The Mavericks have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to decrease possessions for the Warriors.

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 7th-worst in the league this year with a measly 20.9 free throws per game.

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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