Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 11/23/2024

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 23, 2024

Updated Nov 24, 2024 3:05 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has successfully made 46.2% of his three-point shots this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
The Warriors have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Warriors will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Spurs).
The Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Harrison Barnes is a good one for drawing fouls; when Barnes is playing at home other starting PFs this year, they have attempted an enormous 4.3 foul shots per game (80th percentile).

Favors Under

Draymond Green has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The matchup against San Antonio is a difficult one; when the San Antonio Spurs are at home, they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (13.0).
Among all players in the league, Draymond Green places in the 25th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a poor 66.9% rate this year.
Draymond Green will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player performance across the board.

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