Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 10/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors · Oct 23, 2024

Updated Oct 23, 2024 9:19 PM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
The matchup against Portland is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year when the Portland Trail Blazers have the home court advantage (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Draymond Green registers in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game since the start of last season.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 29.6% on threes (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
Among all players in the NBA, Draymond Green ranks in the 21st percentile for free-throw proficiency with a bad 68.1% rate since the start of last season.
When it comes to getting to the foul line, the Golden State Warriors's unimpressive 20.1 free throws per game ranks 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
Draymond Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces stat production in all stat categories.