Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has successfully made 55.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 6.7% more than he's made in all games this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 5.6 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, marking this as a good matchup.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league as the visting team this year.
The Golden State Warriors will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Lakers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 31.4 rate, Draymond Green's playing time has fallen this year to 26.9 minutes per game.
Out of all players in the league, Draymond Green slots into the 97th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 3.0 fouls per game this year.
As a team, the Warriors have been poor at getting to the foul line recently: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, tallying just 15.5 free throws per game.
The matchup against the Lakers may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).
Draymond Green will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually reduces stat production across the board.

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