Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 10:37 PM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-127/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 7th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors will likely get a boost in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
The Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Draymond Green has converted 11.9% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 21.5% less than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
Draymond Green has tallied just 26.6 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 31.4 minutes per game last year.
Draymond Green has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 13.0 points per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, creating a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
As it relates to drawing fouls, the Warriors's lackluster 16.2 free throw attempts per game measures as the worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.

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