Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has sunk 65.7% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 23.5% higher than he's made from three in all games this year.
This year, their opposition has averaged 86.8 field goal attempts per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, making this a challenging matchup.
When squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Nikola Vucevic slots into the 100th percentile with a monstrous 2.6 three-pointers attempted against him per game this year.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Draymond Green has failed to convert 4.6 shot attempts from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's missed overall this season with the home court advantage.
Among all players in the NBA, Draymond Green comes in at the 95th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Warriors rank as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Warriors.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team has brought down 13.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Bulls (saving possessions that can generate more chances for offense).

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