Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 26, 2024 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has successfully made 62.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 22.4% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.
When matched up against opposing starting Cs, Nikola Jokic slots into the 93rd percentile with a whopping 11.7 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Draymond Green has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.6% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while on his home court.

Favors Under

Draymond Green has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The Golden State Warriors have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors.
The Denver Nuggets have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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