Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs LA Clippers · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 3:25 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has made 63.2% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 12.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Draymond Green has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 5.4 more than he's been on the court for overall this year at home.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Draymond Green registers in the 75th percentile for free-throw prowess with the home court advantage with a a great 85.4% rate this year.

Favors Under

Draymond Green has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (97th percentile).
In regard to scoring, the Golden State Warriors's subpar 47.0% field goal rate at home rates 8th-worst in the league this year.
The showdown with Ivica Zubac measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs scoring only 4.6 shots per game this year.
The LA Clippers have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Warriors.
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have snagged 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) against the LA Clippers (preserving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).