Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 10, 2023

Updated May 11, 2023 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has attempted 8.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Draymond Green has been on the court for 30.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one for scoring; when the Lakers are the visiting team, the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 28th-most field goals per game in the league this year (6.1).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should boost opportunities for the Warriors.

Favors Under

Draymond Green has converted 14.9% of his treys over the last 15 games, -12.6% less than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
Draymond Green has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
The matchup vs. Anthony Davis is a hard one for 3-point shots; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a measly 25.5% of their 3-point attempts (13th percentile).
The Lakers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a lowly 20.2 free throws per game.