Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has converted 59.6% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 8.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while on his home court.
Draymond Green has tallied 31.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting Cs have posted the 30th-highest FG% in the league this year (65.6%).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league this year, which should raise opportunities for the Warriors.

Favors Under

Draymond Green has committed 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, drawing a mere 20.1 free throw attempts per game.

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