Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2023

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+103/-133).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has made 1.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Draymond Green has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 80th percentile.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing at home this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.
The matchup against the Suns is a favorable one for scoring; when playing away from home, their opposition have averaged the 5th-most buckets per game in the NBA this year (40.1).

Favors Under

Draymond Green has sunk a measly 60.0% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly less than his 67.8 mark last season.
Draymond Green has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- [AMONG_THE_LEAGUES_MOST_FOUL_PRONE].
The Suns have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team this year on the road (which will also lead to fewer [OPPORTUNITIES_CHANCES] for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Suns is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a lowly 26.7 free throws per game while playing on the road this year (4th-least in the league).
The Warriors have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Suns.

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