Draymond Green Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Made 3 Point Shots

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has sunk 50.0% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 9.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year away from home.
The 4th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 15thbest in in the league as the road team with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has nabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Draymond Green lands in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.1 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
This matchup is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing clubs have averaged the 9th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (35.2).
The matchup against Jaren Jackson Jr. is a difficult one for shots from downtown; when Jackson Jr. is on his home court and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have successfully made just 25.1% of their treys (13th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.
Draymond Green is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board on account of being on the road in this contest.