Draymond Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 7:55 PM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-fastest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Draymond Green has tallied just 6.0 assists per game this year, significantly less than his 6.9 assists per game last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Draymond Green lands in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 3.0 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Raptors (saving possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).
Draymond Green will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production across the board.