Dorian Finney-Smith Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Dorian Finney-Smith

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets · Feb 28, 2026

Updated Feb 28, 2026 2:33 PM EST

Analysis

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rockets are expected to see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Heat).
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Dorian Finney-Smith has registered just 3.1 points per game this year, quite a bit less than his 8.5 points per game last year.
The Rockets have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Rockets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home.