Dorian Finney-Smith Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Dorian Finney-Smith

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 16, 2026

Updated Jan 16, 2026 9:18 PM EST

Analysis

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -147.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road, which should boost plays for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 16.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 8.5 rate, Dorian Finney-Smith's points per game have fallen this year to 2.8.
In regard to offense, the Houston Rockets's feeble 103.0 points per game comes in as the weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Rockets.