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Dorian Finney-Smith

Dorian Finney-Smith Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2025

Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dorian Finney-Smith places in the 79th percentile for threes hit, putting up 1.8 per game this year.

Dorian Finney-Smith has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dorian Finney-Smith has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 30.1% higher than he's sunk overall this year when playing on the road.

The matchup against Boston is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.9 free throws per game this year when the Celtics are at home (8th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA on the road this year has been the Lakers.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have posted 14.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Celtics, making this a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.

The Lakers have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Celtics have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.

Dorian Finney-Smith will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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