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Dorian Finney-Smith

Dorian Finney-Smith Points
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Brooklyn Nets

 
 
 
Dorian Finney-Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In comparison to last year's 1.9 mark, Dorian Finney-Smith's three-point shots made have jumped this year to 3.0 per game.
  • Dorian Finney-Smith has tallied 29.9 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Playing at home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This matchup is a favorable one for threes; the other team has posted the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (36.3%).
  • The Nets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.
  • In contrast to last season's 73.7% mark, Dorian Finney-Smith's foul-shot prowess has regressed this season to 50.0%.
  • With respect to getting to the foul line, the Brooklyn Nets's subpar 20.2 free throws per game as the visting team ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

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