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Dorian Finney-Smith

Dorian Finney-Smith Points
Player Prop - 11/16/2023

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets

 
 
 
Dorian Finney-Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dorian Finney-Smith has notched an impressive 15.2 points per game this season, a significant increase from his 8.8 points per game last season.
  • The Nets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA away from home this year.
  • When playing away from home, the Miami Heat have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against Miami is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Heat have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have put up the 11th-lowest three rate in the league since the start of last season (29.2%).
  • The 9th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nets.
  • The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
  • The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • In contrast to last year's 73.7% rate, Dorian Finney-Smith's free-throw effectiveness has declined this year to 25.0%.

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