Donovan Mitchell Steals - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Steals

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 20, 2024 1:16 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has compiled 2.1 steals per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 100th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
Donovan Mitchell has played 35.3 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell is expected to see a spike in effectiveness for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games while traveling, which should reduce plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.