Donovan Mitchell Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Steals

Charlotte Hornets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+132/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -166 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 1.4 steals per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 96th percentile.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from home.
The Hornets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers player production across the board.